Lazio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LAZ
5 - 1
SAM
72%
16%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
LAZ
4 - 0
USC
80%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NAP
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 3
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 0
SPA
64%
23%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 2
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |