Lazio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
REG
3 - 1
LAZ
53%
29%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 0
USF
41%
32%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BAR
40%
31%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
JUV
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FIO
2 - 0
SPA
65%
22%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |