Lazio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 2
LAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LAZ
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 1
LAZ
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 2
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 0
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |