Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 6-3
Lazio vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
23%
26%
52%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
SHA
0 - 3
LAZ
31%
26%
43%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
LAZ
4 - 3
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2000 |
INT
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 2
PIS
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
SAL
2 - 3
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
TER
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |