Lazio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 2
EIN
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
PIS
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 0
OLB
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USA
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |