Lazio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 5
LAZ
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CAG
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 3
LAZ
36%
26%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
PSG
3 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 2
STR
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 3
LAZ
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MPL
2 - 0
NIC
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 4
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |