Lazio vs Napoli analysis

Lazio Napoli
97 ELO 98
11.6% Tilt 4.7%
15º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.3%
Lazio
24.8%
Draw
33%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
Lazio
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33%
Win probability
Napoli
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-4%
-1%
Napoli

Points and table prediction

Lazio
Their league position
Napoli
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
82
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
82
82
100%
Inter
81
81
100%
Atalanta
74
74
100%
Juventus
70
70
100%
Roma
69
69
100%
Fiorentina
65
65
100%
Lazio
65
65
100%
Milan
63
63
100%
Bologna
62
62
100%
Como
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Torino
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Genoa
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Hellas Verona
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Cagliari
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Parma
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Lecce
17º
34
34
17º
100%
Empoli
18º
31
31
18º
100%
Venezia
19º
29
29
19º
100%
AC Monza
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lazio
Napoli
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lazio
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
LAZ
Lazio
5 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
80%
14%
6%
97 88 9 0
03 Feb. 2025
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
18%
22%
61%
97 87 10 0
30 Jan. 2025
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
13%
19%
67%
97 89 8 0
26 Jan. 2025
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
61%
21%
18%
97 94 3 0
23 Jan. 2025
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
70%
18%
12%
97 93 4 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
76%
16%
8%
99 90 9 0
02 Feb. 2025
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
34%
26%
40%
99 96 3 0
25 Jan. 2025
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus
JUV
45%
26%
29%
98 99 1 +1
18 Jan. 2025
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli
NAP
62%
20%
18%
98 99 1 0
12 Jan. 2025
NAP
Napoli
2 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
79%
15%
6%
98 87 11 0