Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
LAZ
3 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
LAZ
0 - 0
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
TOR
0 - 2
LAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
TRI
6 - 1
NAP
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 2
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |