Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAZ
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
43%
26%
32%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAZ
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
SIE
3 - 0
LAZ
19%
27%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAZ
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
JUV
15%
25%
60%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | -1 |