Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1994 |
SAM
3 - 4
LAZ
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
GEN
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
MOD
3 - 2
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
FIA
1 - 0
MOD
49%
29%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACI
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
PES
4 - 2
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |