Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
29%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LAZ
2 - 2
USF
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
CES
0 - 4
LAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
MOD
67%
22%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |