Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 4
LAZ
33%
27%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LAZ
3 - 1
EMP
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
REG
2 - 3
LAZ
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MES
0 - 3
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
EMP
3 - 1
MES
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |