Lazio vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
LAZ
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NEF
0 - 3
LUD
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
4 - 0
LSO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 2
LUD
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
0 - 1
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 1
CVA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |