Lazio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
INT
2 - 2
LAZ
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
NOV
2 - 4
LAZ
36%
23%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASL
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
ASL
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
ASL
3 - 2
NAP
35%
24%
42%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
INT
2 - 2
ASL
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |