Lazio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
SLB
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
26%
32%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SLB
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 3
BRI
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 1
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
COS
1 - 2
LEC
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 1
ANC
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |