Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 3-1
Lazio vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INT
1 - 2
LAZ
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 0
REG
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HIF
2 - 3
ELF
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ELF
2 - 3
GEF
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ELF
2 - 0
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
KAL
3 - 1
ELF
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 2
ELF
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |