Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TOT
0 - 0
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
LAZ
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PES
0 - 0
GEN
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |