Lazika vs Guria Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 2
LAZ
27%
25%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
5 - 1
SHU
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
EGR
0 - 6
LAZ
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guria Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GUR
1 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUR
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 1
FEJ
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 0
GUR
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |