Lavagnese vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CUN
2 - 1
LAV
55%
25%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 1
CHI
40%
26%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
LAV
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 1
SAV
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DER
2 - 2
LAV
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
4 - 0
SET
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIG
0 - 3
ACD
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 0
CUN
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
1 - 0
CHI
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 3
ACD
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |