Lavagnese vs Sarzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SET
0 - 0
LAV
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 2
SCC
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAA
3 - 2
LAV
27%
25%
47%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 1
ACQ
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
3 - 2
LAV
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
SET
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 2
ASC
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 1
CUN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |