Lavagnese vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USR
1 - 0
LAV
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SCC
0 - 0
LAV
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 1
CUN
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SCC
3 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
CUN
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 0
NOV
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACD
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BIE
5 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |