Lavagnese vs Naviglio Trezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
0 - 0
LAV
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 0
LAV
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
LAV
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 1
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Naviglio Trezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 3
SCH
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 1
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
NAV
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACQ
2 - 2
NAV
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |