Lavagnese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
3 - 1
ASD
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
LAV
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 0
LAV
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
LAV
32%
26%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 4
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOL
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |