Lavagnese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
LAV
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 0
TRE
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SES
0 - 1
LAV
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 2
DER
64%
22%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
LAV
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
BOG
50%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FOL
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
PRO
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AST
1 - 2
FOL
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |