Lavagnese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
LAV
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
BOG
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 5
LAV
12%
21%
67%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 2
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 0
LAV
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 3
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 3
ACQ
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AST
0 - 3
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |