Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
LAV
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LAV
6 - 2
BOR
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
LAV
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 2
CAS
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 1
LAV
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
DER
57%
25%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
ARC
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 0
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |