Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 0
BOR
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
LAV
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LAV
2 - 0
LIG
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
1 - 2
LAV
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
DER
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |