Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+259%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
SAC
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 1
LAV
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SES
2 - 1
LAV
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 1
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 1
LAV
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DER
4 - 2
BOR
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ACQ
1 - 3
DER
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
SET
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
DER
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |