Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
VAO
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 1
LAV
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LAV
0 - 1
SES
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
LAV
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RAB
2 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |