Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
LAV
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 1
ALB
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
LAV
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACQ
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
LAV
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 4
SCH
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
DER
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |