Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAA
0 - 2
LAV
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
LAV
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 3
VAO
34%
26%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
LAV
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
DER
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ALB
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAO
1 - 0
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
BAA
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SET
1 - 5
DER
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |