Lavagnese vs Bogliasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 5
LAV
12%
21%
67%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 2
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 0
LAV
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 2
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 3
LAV
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bogliasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 1
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 1
BOG
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 1
ACQ
42%
25%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AST
2 - 1
BOG
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 1
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |