Lauterach vs FC Hörbranz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
13º
1º
24
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 2
LAU
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 0
AND
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 3
LAU
41%
22%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
3 - 0
ADM
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NEN
4 - 1
LAU
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 0
SCG
25%
20%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
1 - 0
FCH
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 4
HAR
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTB
3 - 0
FCH
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCH
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |