Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
5º
47
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
ROF
0 - 1
LAU
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
81%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 6
LAU
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 1
CZF
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KIN
2 - 1
LAU
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
LUS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
GLE
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CZF
1 - 2
GLE
14%
16%
70%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
KIN
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
GLE
74%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |