Lastenia vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lastenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
LAS
52%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 1
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAS
3 - 2
LIB
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
LAS
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 1
AMA
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
PRO
74%
16%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
AGU
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
33%
24%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +2 |