Lastenia vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lastenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LAS
1 - 0
AGU
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAS
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
LAS
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 0
UNI
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 1
AMA
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATL
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
AMA
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 2
ATL
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |