Las Vegas Lights vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
4 - 1
LVG
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
2 - 2
LVG
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LVG
4 - 0
LAF
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
LVG
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 2
LVG
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RSL
3 - 1
SJE
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 1
RSL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RSL
3 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COC
4 - 0
RSL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RSL
0 - 4
STC
72%
20%
8%
|
75 | 17 | 58 | 0 |