Larvik Turn vs Sarpsborg FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larvik Turn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ASK
4 - 0
LAR
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
LAR
4 - 3
SPA
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1954 |
LAR
2 - 4
ASK
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
NOR
2 - 3
LAR
42%
23%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1954 |
LAR
2 - 1
VKG
48%
21%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
SAR
3 - 1
LSK
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1954 |
MOS
2 - 1
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1954 |
FFK
4 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SAR
3 - 2
GEI
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1954 |
STR
0 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |