Larvik Turn vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larvik Turn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
PGE
0 - 1
LAR
15%
21%
64%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
LAR
10 - 0
STI
82%
12%
5%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LAR
3 - 4
SKA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
FKH
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
LAR
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FKA
6 - 1
KIG
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ODS
1 - 3
FKA
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FKA
2 - 1
IFL
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
NFK
2 - 4
FKA
18%
19%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
PGE
0 - 5
FKA
26%
21%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |