Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 1
BAL
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
COL
4 - 1
LAR
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 2
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
6 - 1
LAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 2
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
DER
4 - 2
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
INS
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
MOY
1 - 1
INS
31%
23%
47%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |