Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TOB
3 - 1
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 3
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
WAR
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
LAR
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |