Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 4
LAR
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAR
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 3
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
7 - 0
BAN
48%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 0
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DER
4 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |