Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 0
DUN
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
LAR
3 - 1
DON
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 1
DON
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 2
LAR
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
INS
4 - 0
ARC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |