Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
COL
0 - 4
LAR
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LAR
1 - 4
GLE
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CLI
0 - 0
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LAR
3 - 3
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
INS
57%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |