Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 2
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
ARD
0 - 2
LAR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARC
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
ARC
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
INS
0 - 2
ARD
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 2
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |