UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-3
Larne vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 4
LAR
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 2
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 6
LAR
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
HAV
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 1
FCL
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
KOO
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |