Larne vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
LAR
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 1
LAR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 2
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 4
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 4
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
COL
5 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |