Larne vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 3
LAR
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 4
LAR
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
49%
23%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 4
ARD
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DER
2 - 3
PSN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
LIM
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |