Larne vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
CRU
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 1
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
6 - 0
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |