Larne vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
KIL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
COL
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LAR
3 - 1
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 1
BIF
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
AAB
1 - 0
AGF
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AGF
0 - 1
FCN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
AGF
2 - 2
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |